MrBobo
0x3f71a5e8ddd949d0020bb0e1950df1746d1d9c46
- Realised P&L
- $8.8k
- Volume
- $380.0k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $12.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.945 | $9.4k | −$49.86 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.845 | $2.5k | +$45.00 |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · No | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.588Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.0kat 0.236Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin by Monday?
- +$1.4kat 0.138Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?
- +$1.3kat 0.805Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.1kat 0.142Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:07 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.7k |
| 10-31 13:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $239.00 |
| 10-31 13:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.6k |
| 10-30 21:56 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $830.00 |
| 10-30 20:49 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $415.00 |
| 10-30 20:31 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $19.15 |
| 10-27 17:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9294917702 | $6.8k |
| 08-30 18:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $3.8k |
| 08-28 14:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.490844892 | $3.0k |
| 08-10 18:45 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $350.45 |
| 08-10 18:44 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.04 |
| 08-10 18:41 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $735.00 |
| 08-10 18:41 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-10 18:39 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $44.74 |
| 08-10 18:38 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |