ichernaia
0x3f7144aa329f72d990f419252a95da7cb7b9a03e
- Realised P&L
- $205.34
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $18.54
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.20at 0.602Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$53.22at 0.109Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$13.27at 0.427Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
- +$12.23at 0.099Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$9.65at 0.574Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:16 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4889999462 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:15 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 12:44 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 11:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 10:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.379 | $1.05 |
| 09-23 10:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.05 |
| 09-23 10:46 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.14 |
| 09-23 08:05 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:03 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:02 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:01 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:00 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:57 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 07:55 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 06:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |