PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lfg9677

0x3f6c54b9aed08737ac991afbb1bff734d178b211

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-20.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.8280.425$2.7k$2.5k
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3940.220$542.43$429.38
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3510.000$0.00$51.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$100.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$100.00
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 02:14Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3509999963$51.00
06-23 17:05Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8799999985$47.94
06-22 13:45Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.64$30.75
05-22 18:45Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2385569155$112.30
05-22 18:44Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.49$113.95
05-05 04:09Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4308696301$859.51
03-08 02:53Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$649.71
02-23 01:26Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.9745720157$649.71
02-18 04:27Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.7300635193$2.2k
01-23 02:54Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.75$500.00
01-03 14:48Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.9178244501$3.0k
01-03 14:41Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.7899999997$100.00
01-03 14:40Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.8943210612$200.00
01-03 14:37Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
01-03 14:37Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?BUY0.309999998$100.00