phox
0x3f659064e91da83d1f4d38bcca73e75eb5e20075
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $175.6k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.041 | $370.85 | +$20.86 |
| Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.036 | $182.96 | −$17.04 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.040 | $181.34 | −$19.44 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.011 | $143.75 | −$6.24 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.065 | $139.29 | −$10.71 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.042 | $90.22 | −$9.78 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.005 | $78.57 | −$21.42 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.035Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$294.78at 0.449Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
- +$275.00at 0.370Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$181.97at 0.606Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
- +$117.86at 0.560LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:04 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.027 | $62.74 |
| 09-08 17:05 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.07 | $150.00 |
| 09-08 16:49 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $100.00 |
| 08-25 21:21 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0430267279 | $99.99 |
| 08-25 21:20 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0459999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-25 21:17 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0069999999 | $100.00 |
| 08-25 17:50 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.012 | $150.00 |
| 08-25 17:48 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0376857304 | $144.97 |
| 08-25 17:48 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.036 | $105.03 |
| 08-20 18:28 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0417982009 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 18:22 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0456429489 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 20:31 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.042 | $9.70 |
| 07-29 19:23 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0379999996 | $100.00 |
| 04-16 13:36 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.33 | $305.25 |
| 03-23 03:46 | Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.025 | $193.41 |