1231123123
0x3f610edaf25db2fe296a5a0cbd0b58a0dc99e259
- Realised P&L
- $24.4k
- Volume
- $8.57M
- Markets traded
- 954
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded954
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.811 | 0.915 | $1.2k | +$138.25 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $1.5 before 2027? · No | 0.949 | 0.952 | $731.17 | +$2.19 |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.597 | 0.880 | $303.60 | +$97.75 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $2 before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.957 | $181.87 | +$1.30 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027? · No | 0.928 | 0.940 | $170.57 | +$2.09 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027? · No | 0.725 | 0.905 | $84.60 | +$16.84 |
| Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100? · Yes | 0.664 | 0.515 | $38.20 | −$11.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.1kat 0.723Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$10.1kat 0.830Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$8.4kat 0.881Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$6.5kat 0.318Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?
- +$6.3kat 0.872Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:39 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.9 | $13.56 |
| 08-02 14:35 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.4848542788 | $52.24 |
| 08-02 14:32 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.69 | $69.97 |
| 08-02 14:31 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | SELL | 0.280753012 | $37.28 |
| 08-02 14:26 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.29 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 14:24 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $9.25 |
| 08-02 14:21 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 08-02 12:50 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner | SELL | 0.36 | $18.71 |
| 08-02 12:37 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $12.47 |
| 08-02 12:11 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.88 | $17.70 |
| 08-02 12:01 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.77 | $31.14 |
| 08-02 11:46 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.51 | $31.32 |
| 08-02 11:20 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.9 | $271.35 |
| 08-02 10:51 | Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8994931438 | $162.03 |
| 07-30 20:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $684.93 |