PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3F6096fAd91c4B8f098be4319784Af205768b148-1791579645089

0x3f6096fad91c4b8f098be4319784af205768b148

Realised P&L
$-51.47
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$362.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18? · No0.6300.510$51.00−$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 17? · No0.7000.650$32.50−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 17? · No0.6800.605$30.25−$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 18? · No0.6400.580$29.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 18? · No0.5100.535$26.75+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 17? · Yes0.4900.485$24.25−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 18? · No0.5200.455$22.75−$3.25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 18? · Yes0.3400.340$17.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 18? · Yes0.3400.305$15.25−$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 18? · Yes0.5900.665$14.58+$1.64
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17? · No0.6600.725$14.50+$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18? · Yes0.2900.310$12.71+$0.82
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 18? · Yes0.3700.335$12.66−$1.32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 18? · Yes0.4870.545$12.01+$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 18? · Yes0.2000.170$8.50−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 21:00Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 17?SELL0.46$23.00
10-16 20:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 17?SELL0.24$2.63
10-16 20:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 17?SELL0.44$22.00
10-16 20:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17?SELL0.545756$54.58
10-16 20:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?SELL0.43$25.80
10-16 20:00Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17?SELL0.6414459225$44.36
10-16 20:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 17?SELL0.2$1.00
10-16 19:03Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 17?SELL0.45$14.60
10-16 19:03Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?SELL0.68$29.92
10-16 19:03Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?SELL0.6208766587$57.08
10-16 19:03Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 17?SELL0.27436$13.72
10-16 19:02Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 17?SELL0.124971875$4.00
10-16 19:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 17?SELL0.3021946512$21.92
10-16 17:00Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 17?SELL0.1585034014$0.93
10-16 16:32Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17?SELL0.57$4.53