0x3F6096fAd91c4B8f098be4319784Af205768b148-1791579645089
0x3f6096fad91c4b8f098be4319784af205768b148
- Realised P&L
- $-51.47
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $362.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.66at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?
- +$18.82at 0.401Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17?
- +$10.08at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?
- +$7.11at 0.640Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 17?
- +$6.66at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 10-16 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.63 |
| 10-16 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or below on October 17? | SELL | 0.545756 | $54.58 |
| 10-16 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.43 | $25.80 |
| 10-16 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.6414459225 | $44.36 |
| 10-16 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.45 | $14.60 |
| 10-16 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.68 | $29.92 |
| 10-16 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.6208766587 | $57.08 |
| 10-16 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.27436 | $13.72 |
| 10-16 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.124971875 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.3021946512 | $21.92 |
| 10-16 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.1585034014 | $0.93 |
| 10-16 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.53 |