YKJawq11324
0x3f5ef04e6ba448984011d03e56fbdb41add4ddcf
- Realised P&L
- $842.32
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $529.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? · Yes | 0.427 | 0.350 | $258.68 | −$57.31 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October? · Yes | 0.374 | 0.215 | $221.42 | −$164.25 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · No | 0.650 | 0.655 | $49.13 | +$0.38 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in September? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.39 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$415.74at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$362.92at 0.589Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$170.46at 0.221Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$89.73at 0.664Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September?
- +$79.36at 0.869Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:51 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October? | BUY | 0.26 | $23.21 |
| 10-01 12:51 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October? | BUY | 0.23 | $7.46 |
| 10-01 12:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 10-01 12:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? | BUY | 0.415841583 | $124.00 |
| 10-01 06:22 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:22 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in October? | BUY | 0.2694610772 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 06:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October? | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $150.00 |
| 09-30 06:14 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September? | BUY | 0.9494811189 | $18.30 |
| 09-30 06:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 09-30 06:09 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September? | BUY | 0.949 | $28.47 |
| 09-30 06:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | SELL | 0.996 | $99.60 |
| 09-28 02:08 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in September? | BUY | 0.8542592593 | $11.53 |
| 09-23 07:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.783 | $10.18 |
| 08-21 19:33 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.1k |
| 08-21 05:23 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.1k |