ythjsefs
0x3f5276b36a27a56ea708e79f54ab06a8a9347ffd
- Realised P&L
- $526.59
- Volume
- $32.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $943.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.560 | $943.59 | +$421.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.13at 0.599Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$33.52at 0.481Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
- +$6.69at 0.064Modi out by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.400Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.607Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 03:59 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0649850288 | $67.58 |
| 07-03 03:47 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.067 | $1.68 |
| 07-03 03:19 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.068 | $16.32 |
| 07-03 03:18 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.068 | $15.64 |
| 07-03 03:18 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.068 | $17.34 |
| 07-03 03:17 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.068 | $17.00 |
| 06-29 09:14 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $15.36 |
| 06-29 08:49 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.064 | $14.72 |
| 06-29 08:25 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.70 |
| 06-29 08:22 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0659781569 | $16.82 |
| 06-29 08:02 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $16.50 |
| 05-22 11:19 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | SELL | 0.503 | $5.03 |
| 05-22 11:09 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | SELL | 0.503 | $228.87 |
| 05-13 08:41 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | BUY | 0.483 | $159.39 |
| 05-13 07:56 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | BUY | 0.481 | $149.11 |