PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ythjsefs

0x3f5276b36a27a56ea708e79f54ab06a8a9347ffd

Realised P&L
$526.59
Volume
$32.8k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$943.59

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.3100.560$943.59+$421.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 03:59Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0649850288$67.58
07-03 03:47Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.067$1.68
07-03 03:19Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.068$16.32
07-03 03:18Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.068$15.64
07-03 03:18Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.068$17.34
07-03 03:17Modi out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.068$17.00
06-29 09:14Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.064$15.36
06-29 08:49Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.064$14.72
06-29 08:25Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.066$0.70
06-29 08:22Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0659781569$16.82
06-29 08:02Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.066$16.50
05-22 11:19Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?SELL0.503$5.03
05-22 11:09Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?SELL0.503$228.87
05-13 08:41Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?BUY0.483$159.39
05-13 07:56Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?BUY0.481$149.11