PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3f4f83944a66d052285405e8970e56cae69d503a

Realised P&L
$30.97
Volume
$430.34
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$22.15

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No0.7600.935$6.15+$1.15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.2100.235$5.60+$0.60
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes0.5600.555$4.96$0.04
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3500.260$3.71$1.29
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes0.3800.075$0.99$4.01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.2300.035$0.75$4.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 09:26Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
09-19 22:56Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-19 11:18Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
09-19 03:18Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
09-17 04:38Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3799999924$5.00
09-17 03:48Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.549999956$5.00
09-15 19:46Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.2599999896$5.00
09-12 07:44Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
09-07 07:29Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.7599998541$5.00
09-03 00:29Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.7599999696$5.00
09-02 14:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5599999776$5.00
08-25 15:16Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?BUY0.365999808$1.14
08-20 13:52Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.4299999871$5.00
08-18 16:46Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.50 and $0.55 on August 31, 2026?BUY0.549999956$5.00
08-18 08:38Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.7699999877$5.00