MrZobrak
0x3f4eb0563b09e6b0008b5bd88633d3e7b54dbd3d
- Realised P&L
- $-357.66
- Volume
- $394.1k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $199.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.115 | $199.54 | −$60.73 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.18 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$555.64at 0.035Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
- +$466.80at 0.666Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 17?
- +$401.89at 0.281Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$278.17at 0.760Bitcoin above $108K on September 1?
- +$224.40at 0.830Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 10:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.64 |
| 02-24 10:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.18 |
| 02-05 07:51 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.00 |
| 02-05 07:48 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.33 |
| 02-05 07:46 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.51 |
| 02-05 07:42 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.46 |
| 02-05 07:39 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.42 |
| 02-05 07:27 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.84 |
| 02-05 07:24 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.57 |
| 02-05 07:20 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $8.13 |
| 02-05 07:15 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $11.40 |
| 02-05 07:12 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.83 |
| 02-05 07:09 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.03 |
| 02-05 07:06 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.50 |
| 02-04 19:07 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $20.58 |