PolyBot

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Traders

thisisthewaymamba

0x3f48117184db84f7eebb0ac37e730651dfc0e69b

Realised P&L
$-141.43
Volume
$254.3k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.9770.995$3.1k+$53.91
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8800.905$154.26+$4.26
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00−$170.00
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30? · No0.3520.000$0.00−$970.89
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$648.14
Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.3100.000$0.00−$9.92
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.3060.000$0.00−$229.51
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? · No0.2220.000$0.00−$429.29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.7770.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5410.000$0.00−$120.00
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08? · No0.2440.000$0.00−$109.98
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · No0.2780.000$0.00−$45.95
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$615.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:45Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.88$50.00
09-15 23:45Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8799999996$100.00
09-11 03:49Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.3629999996$100.00
09-06 13:58Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4699999985$100.00
09-03 14:39Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.4299999985$100.00
08-31 11:55Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.7567201602$306.03
08-31 11:46Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.7427304458$1.2k
08-28 08:51Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.9775248564$2.5k
08-28 08:50Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.9769999999$250.00
08-28 08:42Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.9769999999$250.00
08-22 09:24Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.3399999978$100.00
07-25 09:18Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.347192089$709.38
07-25 09:18Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.28$196.35
07-20 03:52Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?BUY0.2227308914$891.71
07-19 22:10Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9167007782$500.00