0x3f449ee4003d8247a356476c57af7a929c8c5de4
0x3f449ee4003d8247a356476c57af7a929c8c5de4
- Realised P&L
- $-24.40
- Volume
- $103.46
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $10.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.660 | 0.785 | $5.95 | +$0.95 |
| Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.650 | 0.485 | $2.98 | −$1.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.144 | $1.31 | −$2.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.19at 1.038Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$-2.73at 0.569Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
- +$-5.30at 0.646Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-21?
- +$-5.38at 0.521Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22?
- +$-5.39at 0.506Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:31 | Packers Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6499999594 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 14:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.4839999772 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 14:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $4.00 |
| 09-22 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999812 | $2.54 |
| 08-25 12:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6599998733 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 22:44 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 22:41 | Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-21? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-21 22:35 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |