50degrees
0x3f4493ee9b52d229cec8cba2a9fb6a6c2b78fa88
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $77.5k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$755.40at 0.565 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$710.00at 0.770US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
- +$509.22at 0.536Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$305.00at 0.828US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
- +$284.20at 0.861Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 19:32 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $129.00 |
| 10-28 19:28 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $135.00 |
| 10-28 19:27 | Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $145.00 |
| 10-21 15:54 | Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.51 | $128.81 |
| 10-21 07:54 | Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.7163009492 | $205.26 |
| 10-21 07:52 | Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.64 | $59.90 |
| 10-21 07:52 | Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.62 | $272.60 |
| 10-21 07:51 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.9001092324 | $1.2k |
| 10-14 22:55 | Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.72 | $102.43 |
| 10-14 22:55 | Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.71 | $73.48 |
| 10-14 22:55 | Will the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 10-13 15:42 | Will the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.56 | $61.60 |
| 10-13 15:41 | Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.64 | $30.72 |
| 10-11 09:06 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.63 | $630.00 |
| 10-11 09:01 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $90.00 |