gejbr
0x3f41a9f7c771c05b3922d141d30d60b912d55ffc
- Realised P&L
- $116.3k
- Volume
- $5.28M
- Markets traded
- 4,349
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,349
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.4kat 0.284Argentina to win the second half?
- +$18.4kat 0.465Germany to win the second half?
- +$17.7kat 0.120Egypt to score first vs. Argentina?
- +$15.8kat 0.290England to win the second half?
- +$15.4kat 0.306Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:35 | Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5) | BUY | 0.9161037586 | $138.44 |
| 09-20 22:35 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.920215487 | $52.53 |
| 09-20 22:35 | Games Total: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.93 | $66.42 |
| 09-20 22:35 | Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5) | BUY | 0.9186206897 | $66.60 |
| 09-20 22:31 | Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5) | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-20 22:29 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $126.00 |
| 09-20 22:23 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3496666667 | $104.90 |
| 09-20 22:18 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.65 | $3.25 |
| 09-20 22:18 | Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $0.38 |
| 09-20 22:16 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6197866667 | $185.94 |
| 09-20 22:08 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $81.00 |
| 09-19 23:24 | Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $6.60 |
| 09-19 16:51 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | BUY | 0.89 | $267.00 |
| 09-19 16:51 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | BUY | 0.89 | $267.00 |
| 09-19 16:50 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $264.00 |