knbhun9
0x3f3f84ff9305ff1f8752d7568806f870ee83ba27
- Realised P&L
- $-33.90
- Volume
- $54.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $96.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.962 | $87.78 | +$10.18 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $8.40 | −$75.60 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $0.67 | −$10.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.80at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down on October 30?
- +$18.30at 0.900Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?
- +$4.54at 0.982Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$2.74at 0.930Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.28at 0.008Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 01:46 | Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $64.00 |
| 04-27 07:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999995 | $77.60 |
| 03-26 02:08 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999998 | $254.81 |
| 02-20 07:22 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0087309254 | $11.63 |
| 02-12 08:55 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.12 |
| 02-03 07:24 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.993 | $253.72 |
| 01-05 06:43 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.40 |
| 01-05 06:43 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.00 |
| 01-05 06:43 | Will XRP reach $3.60 in January? | BUY | 0.99 | $40.00 |
| 01-05 06:42 | Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? | BUY | 0.9920079913 | $100.00 |
| 12-09 01:22 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9819999985 | $247.86 |
| 11-26 03:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $239.76 |
| 10-28 08:22 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October? | BUY | 0.9 | $164.70 |