uowens
0x3f3c7dbcb78105cbe4c66a3b8d65cd5920e4ccc1
- Realised P&L
- $-113.04
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $64.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lula participates in debate before first round? · No | 0.840 | 1.000 | $26.54 | +$4.25 |
| Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.715 | $22.62 | −$0.79 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.900 | 1.000 | $15.26 | +$1.53 |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 4? · No | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.98at 0.700Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2?
- +$8.88at 0.788Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Laura Pigossi
- +$2.51at 0.999U.S. recession before May 2025?
- +$0.93at 0.960Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$0.50at 0.975Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 15:47 | Tolentino: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Laura Pigossi | BUY | 0.78 | $32.76 |
| 01-31 14:51 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.87 |
| 01-30 16:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.07 |
| 01-30 15:50 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.20 |
| 01-30 14:53 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.82 |
| 01-30 13:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.998999973 | $24.32 |
| 12-30 08:56 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.82 |
| 12-30 01:05 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.997999973 | $18.34 |
| 12-30 00:37 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.58 |
| 12-29 19:03 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999769 | $34.73 |
| 10-30 18:57 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.07 |
| 10-30 18:14 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.87 |
| 09-29 15:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.90 |
| 09-29 10:27 | Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.01 |
| 09-29 02:36 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999523 | $16.52 |