lunaaaa
0x3f3a72ee9bdf3331bea25668506800256cdbd288
- Realised P&L
- $-61.42
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $9.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.85at 0.302Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
- +$24.42at 0.710LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$9.25at 0.928Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$8.19at 0.830LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner
- +$7.33at 0.120US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 14:21 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.93 |
| 03-17 14:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.94 |
| 03-17 14:20 | USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.59 | $0.96 |
| 03-17 14:20 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 03-17 14:20 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.18 |
| 03-17 14:20 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.027 | $2.93 |
| 03-17 14:20 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.76 |
| 03-17 14:19 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.69 |
| 03-16 08:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 06:56 | Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.04 |
| 03-16 06:56 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.85 |
| 03-12 13:50 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 08:04 | Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | BUY | 0.3489998353 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 09:48 | Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0990001714 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 06:52 | Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |