tiger5510
0x3f2d1a7e0758d8c57fe4d9678c023b4120402adc
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $11.93M
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $94.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $26.77 | −$210.13 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $23.60 | −$200.83 |
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $19.16 | −$189.22 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $14.28 | −$109.47 |
| Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $10.49 | −$83.00 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$219.74 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? · No | 0.459 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$291.05 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? · No | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.57at 0.304Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$218.77at 0.018Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$213.21at 0.072Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$174.52at 0.129No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
- +$160.23at 0.061Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 03:03 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | SELL | 0.12 | $59.10 |
| 09-07 09:09 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0152455476 | $75.92 |
| 09-07 09:09 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003175615 | $74.14 |
| 09-07 09:08 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0170198922 | $25.96 |
| 09-07 09:08 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | SELL | 0.0200065799 | $28.58 |
| 09-07 09:08 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL | 0.0663911376 | $3.12 |
| 09-07 09:06 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0200052238 | $88.08 |
| 09-07 09:05 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $44.92 |
| 09-07 09:04 | Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $128.19 |
| 09-07 09:04 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $42.22 |
| 09-07 09:04 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $46.46 |
| 09-07 09:03 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $49.99 |
| 09-07 09:03 | Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0020695744 | $31.73 |
| 09-07 09:03 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0042466408 | $95.04 |
| 09-07 09:03 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL | 0.12 | $62.66 |