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Traders

VdBellen

0x3f23b30667c4a380115bffd90c8ffb4d955327cb

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$91.5k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.962$958.72+$131.12
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8750.818$817.50$57.50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2400.235$705.00$15.00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8300.885$442.50+$27.50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.7250.000$0.00$350.25
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31? · No0.1240.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No0.3610.000$0.00$1.2k
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18? · No0.4000.000$0.00$100.00
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.1750.000$0.00$175.00
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5? · Yes0.6560.000$0.00$200.00
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18? · No0.7100.000$0.00$100.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$20.00
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31? · No0.5700.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 05:28Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.24$120.00
09-04 05:27Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.24$600.00
08-31 17:44Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$420.00
07-06 12:28Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.875$875.00
06-26 15:25Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.83$415.00
06-26 15:23Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?BUY0.87$88.74
06-02 19:17Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?BUY0.78$936.00
05-29 05:34US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?BUY0.85$850.00
05-29 05:32US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?BUY0.85$1.3k
05-24 16:16Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.64$6.77
05-24 16:13Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0403150333$25.00
05-21 16:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?BUY0.941$470.50
05-04 14:12Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.83$827.60
04-22 14:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.8$64.00
04-19 21:03US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?BUY0.85$297.50
Trader VdBellen · PolyBot Pro