PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Asttttt

0x3f0def4c8fd51a73de0db0d0f2242bbf137bdeb2

Realised P&L
$-38.42
Volume
$224.83
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$5.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-17.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes0.7100.115$5.98$30.94
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 15? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 14? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$2.03
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 14? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.60
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 14? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 17:40Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.71$36.92
03-15 12:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 15?BUY0.0297323798$1.00
03-14 23:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?SELL0.43$2.15
03-13 13:24Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 14?BUY0.38$1.90
03-13 13:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?BUY0.37$1.85
03-12 21:23Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 12?BUY0.6899998712$1.50
03-12 21:23Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?SELL0.28$1.40
03-12 13:09Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 14?BUY0.29$2.03
03-12 13:01Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13?BUY0.38$1.90
03-11 21:54Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 12?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
03-11 21:52Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 12?BUY0.25$0.41
03-11 20:40Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 12?BUY0.35$1.75
03-11 20:32Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?BUY0.35$1.75
03-05 22:17Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 6?BUY0.25$2.50
03-05 22:15Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 6?SELL0.15$2.25