PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Asttttt

0x3f0def4c8fd51a73de0db0d0f2242bbf137bdeb2

Realised P&L
$-11.92
Volume
$247.83
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$6.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 12:01Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 26?BUY0.08$1.04
09-24 11:57Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 26?BUY0.33$1.65
09-24 11:56Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 26?BUY0.32$1.60
09-14 17:40Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.71$36.92
03-15 12:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 15?BUY0.0297323798$1.00
03-14 23:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?SELL0.43$2.15
03-13 13:24Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 14?BUY0.38$1.90
03-13 13:23Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 15?BUY0.37$1.85
03-12 21:23Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 12?BUY0.6899998712$1.50
03-12 21:23Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?SELL0.28$1.40
03-12 13:09Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 14?BUY0.29$2.03
03-12 13:01Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13?BUY0.38$1.90
03-11 21:54Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 12?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
03-11 21:52Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 12?BUY0.25$0.41
03-11 20:40Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 12?BUY0.35$1.75