kenshin21
0x3f0b435eea4746ade5781eae478316359a9ae9c9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.05
- Volume
- $214.92
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $12.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.645 | $4.78 | +$2.78 |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · No | 0.290 | 0.245 | $1.69 | −$0.31 |
| Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli? · Russell | 0.650 | 0.540 | $1.66 | −$0.34 |
| F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.770 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.295 | $1.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.972 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.095 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027? · No | 0.997 | 0.496 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.14at 0.552Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.21at 0.459Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$-1.03at 0.452Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?
- +$-1.03at 0.422Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$-5.34at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:20 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.290486565 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 12:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 11:45 | F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 11:42 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 11:37 | Who will finish higher: Russell or Antonelli? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 11:34 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 07:17 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 07:10 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 07:02 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 06:46 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? | BUY | 0.4489998518 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 12:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999943 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 12:15 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 12:14 | Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |