43d7fmu790og
0x3f05fb6a1b184ce0f20a2843f6dac1fd2e45a9b9
- Realised P&L
- $-8.6k
- Volume
- $385.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,088
- Open portfolio
- $583.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,088
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.475 | $136.12 | −$13.88 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.471 | 0.545 | $100.37 | +$13.57 |
| Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5) · EDward Gaming | 0.470 | 0.455 | $96.81 | −$3.19 |
| Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? · Yes | 0.755 | 0.560 | $85.19 | −$29.66 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.529 | 0.405 | $55.93 | −$17.12 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.296 | 0.305 | $44.81 | +$1.31 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.487 | 0.565 | $40.88 | +$5.61 |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? · No | 0.332 | 0.165 | $18.26 | −$18.57 |
| Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.070 | $2.63 | −$4.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.297Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
- +$1.2kat 0.587Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B
- +$1.1kat 0.360Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)
- +$970.81at 0.419Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A
- +$886.95at 0.725Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 02:55 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.13 |
| 08-07 02:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2960734534 | $43.50 |
| 08-07 02:48 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.235 | $5.64 |
| 08-07 02:37 | Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? | BUY | 0.7926302759 | $35.57 |
| 08-07 02:25 | Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.98 |
| 08-07 02:24 | Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? | BUY | 0.7699999905 | $15.36 |
| 08-07 02:24 | Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? | BUY | 0.7618738777 | $28.53 |
| 08-07 02:24 | Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Typhoon" at Japan landfall? | BUY | 0.7099999944 | $35.39 |
| 08-07 02:21 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.58 |
| 08-07 02:00 | Will Typhoon Dolphin be a "Very Strong Typhoon" at Japan landfall? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.18 |
| 08-07 01:57 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.162 | $5.26 |
| 08-07 01:42 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.9283401926 | $49.17 |
| 08-07 01:35 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | SELL | 0.03 | $4.17 |
| 08-07 01:34 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.95 | $50.33 |
| 08-07 00:25 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | BUY | 0.4 | $39.00 |