0x3F054b055955d4EAb6b5491960fdcFEfDDb90dE7-1773905591766
0x3f054b055955d4eab6b5491960fdcfefddb90de7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.69
- Volume
- $34.86
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $0.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? · Yes | 0.980 | 0.535 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.65at 0.821Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$0.50at 0.800Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
- +$0.49at 0.890Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.21at 0.560Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April?
- +$0.14at 0.740Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 07:35 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.18 |
| 04-12 18:49 | Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in April? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.96 |
| 04-12 18:48 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 04-12 18:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.13 |
| 04-12 18:45 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.67 |
| 04-12 18:44 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 04-07 19:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 19:44 | Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $0.97 |
| 04-07 19:42 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | BUY | 0.8219998619 | $1.00 |
| 04-07 19:40 | Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.49 |
| 04-02 08:48 | Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.88999998 | $4.00 |
| 03-30 12:34 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8209999896 | $3.00 |
| 03-19 17:54 | Will "War Machine" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 03-19 17:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.06 |
| 03-19 10:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 19? | BUY | 0.9659999942 | $2.00 |