0x3f036f84359f39a5920ad7cb14db4163754dacb4
0x3f036f84359f39a5920ad7cb14db4163754dacb4
- Realised P&L
- $29.42
- Volume
- $497.18
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $72.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.854 | 0.935 | $54.48 | +$4.72 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.685 | $10.07 | +$0.07 |
| Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia · Australia | 0.570 | 0.525 | $4.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.285 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the match end in a draw? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.040 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.49at 0.489Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$7.99at 0.281Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?
- +$6.20at 0.455Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$4.48at 0.773Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$3.95at 0.565Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 16:20 | Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 16:19 | Will the match end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:18 | Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $3.00 |
| 09-23 16:17 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 16:17 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 22:47 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 22:46 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 22:46 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 22:46 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7599999919 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 22:45 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 04:02 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 15:03 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 14:40 | Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.13 |
| 09-13 14:40 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.997 | $52.15 |
| 09-13 14:28 | Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6460571392 | $12.02 |