0xJ0seph
0x3efca6963595a7f501f7888f1a44707e0f5922d1
- Realised P&L
- $-215.27
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $95.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · No | 0.340 | 0.410 | $36.18 | +$6.18 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.700 | $30.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.165 | $16.50 | +$6.50 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No | 0.017 | 0.013 | $11.91 | −$3.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.99 |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 1, 2026? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 14? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.02at 0.280Counter-Strike: 9z vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A
- +$40.56at 0.432LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
- +$36.69at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down on October 14?
- +$0.00at 0.860Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
- +$-0.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:17 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.41 | $47.67 |
| 10-14 07:17 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.68 | $49.27 |
| 10-14 07:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $49.99 |
| 10-14 07:17 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.3001750476 | $53.61 |
| 10-14 07:17 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.4475138307 | $69.40 |
| 10-14 07:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.61 | $83.62 |
| 10-14 07:16 | Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A | SELL | 0.228482691 | $88.57 |
| 10-14 07:16 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.9540556257 | $105.82 |
| 10-14 07:16 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0737007919 | $17.87 |
| 10-14 07:16 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? | SELL | 0.2234871497 | $84.70 |
| 10-14 07:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | SELL | 0.7970204082 | $292.91 |
| 10-14 06:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? | BUY | 0.8099999996 | $297.68 |
| 10-14 06:31 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 06:31 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4124578058 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 06:31 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? | BUY | 0.2638624436 | $100.00 |