huy67
0x3ef66808dfd8ed56344fefa569b24719bf461091
- Realised P&L
- $-480.70
- Volume
- $52.3k
- Markets traded
- 275
- Open portfolio
- $173.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded275
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 200k? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.805 | $96.60 | −$11.40 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000? · No | 0.909 | 0.894 | $43.39 | −$0.73 |
| Will “I Just Might” by Bruno Mars win Best R&B at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.665 | $33.08 | −$12.19 |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$5.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.34at 0.025Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
- +$143.63at 0.053Will A'ja Wilson have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
- +$132.85at 0.063Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
- +$131.26at 0.055Trump and Pezeshkian meet by September 30?
- +$128.88at 0.073Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 08:31 | Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.9395 | $112.74 |
| 09-26 07:39 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.80 |
| 09-26 06:55 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9578828333 | $114.95 |
| 09-26 06:31 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000? | BUY | 0.096 | $1.10 |
| 09-26 05:48 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.079 | $0.26 |
| 09-26 05:42 | Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.57 |
| 09-26 05:07 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.12 |
| 09-26 05:07 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 21 million views this week? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-26 05:07 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 24 million views this week? | BUY | 0.9847816667 | $59.09 |
| 09-26 04:34 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.61 |
| 09-26 04:34 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.79 |
| 09-26 04:04 | Will there be no next Claude Sonnet model release by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.95375 | $57.23 |
| 09-26 04:04 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $58.80 |
| 09-26 03:46 | Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.065 | $7.80 |
| 09-26 03:30 | Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.9564809384 | $48.92 |