0x3ef42434d7cee15603ee7da800952d6b75a77fb7
0x3ef42434d7cee15603ee7da800952d6b75a77fb7
- Realised P&L
- $0.01
- Volume
- $289.19
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $1.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.765 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.455 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$3.08at 0.400Will Airbnb say "Domestic" during earnings call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 01:14 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 00:53 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.38 |
| 09-24 14:41 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:28 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 03:16 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 07:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999767 | $1.89 |
| 08-23 00:40 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2209999324 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 15:37 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34999993 | $2.00 |
| 08-21 06:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 21? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 22:12 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3579998965 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 08-20 05:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.3029998974 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 19:51 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 11:50 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.704999651 | $2.00 |