TAOBAO
0x3eefe0ec814571842cf62e3c1dfe37d5de4ac865
- Realised P&L
- $-45.31
- Volume
- $1.12M
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $43.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No | 0.934 | 0.977 | $9.61 | +$0.42 |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.957 | $9.41 | −$0.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? · No | 0.987 | 0.982 | $8.57 | −$0.04 |
| Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.975 | $5.60 | +$0.31 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 0.989 | $5.33 | −$0.01 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.994 | 0.999 | $4.68 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.05at 0.627Will Israel win on 2025-09-05?
- +$81.45at 0.300Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025?
- +$74.38at 0.840Will Montenegro win on 2025-11-14?
- +$33.33at 0.900Will Kosovo win on 2025-09-05?
- +$28.24at 0.680Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 18:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? | BUY | 0.9869999991 | $8.61 |
| 10-05 14:27 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.9619999837 | $9.46 |
| 08-23 13:39 | Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5) | BUY | 0.9779999977 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 13:06 | Spread: England (-2.5) | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 07-01 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.9889999992 | $9.21 |
| 06-03 07:28 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.9339999937 | $9.19 |
| 06-03 07:26 | Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.29 |
| 05-17 12:55 | Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9849999999 | $110.00 |
| 04-21 11:57 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.34 |
| 04-21 11:55 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9379999997 | $5.91 |
| 04-07 20:36 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.66 |
| 04-07 20:34 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.992 | $8.10 |
| 03-21 18:23 | Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.56 |
| 03-14 11:09 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9819999994 | $9.35 |
| 12-03 21:49 | Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.9889999875 | $67.00 |