PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TAOBAO

0x3eefe0ec814571842cf62e3c1dfe37d5de4ac865

Realised P&L
$-45.31
Volume
$1.12M
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$43.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9340.977$9.61+$0.42
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9620.957$9.41−$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23? · No0.9870.982$8.57−$0.04
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9200.975$5.60+$0.31
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9900.989$5.33−$0.01
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9940.999$4.68+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 18:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?BUY0.9869999991$8.61
10-05 14:27Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.9619999837$9.46
08-23 13:39Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)BUY0.9779999977$5.00
07-12 13:06Spread: England (-2.5)BUY0.95$9.50
07-01 20:47Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 2?BUY0.9889999992$9.21
06-03 07:28Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.9339999937$9.19
06-03 07:26Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.92$5.29
05-17 12:55Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9849999999$110.00
04-21 11:57Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.99$5.34
04-21 11:55Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9379999997$5.91
04-07 20:36Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.994$4.66
04-07 20:34Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.992$8.10
03-21 18:23Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$6.56
03-14 11:09Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9819999994$9.35
12-03 21:49Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?BUY0.9889999875$67.00