PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SeraphicSpirit

0x3ee0dccdcb6eb516ac94490d277fac2fc620d2df

Realised P&L
$-102.84
Volume
$33.7k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$55.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29? · Yes0.0080.009$44.38+$2.47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28? · Yes0.0030.003$5.55−$1.11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? · Yes0.0050.001$2.50−$22.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29? · Yes0.0050.004$2.10−$0.23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 30? · Yes0.0050.004$0.68−$0.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0040.004$0.09+$0.01
Is John McAfee alive? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$0.50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$17.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? · No0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$82.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 09:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?BUY0.009$4.54
09-28 09:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?BUY0.008$5.26
09-28 09:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?BUY0.008$9.53
09-28 09:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?BUY0.008$11.20
09-28 08:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?BUY0.0076993007$11.01
09-28 05:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?BUY0.003$4.42
09-16 12:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?SELL0.998$189.34
04-20 12:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?BUY0.9855828163$2.3k
04-20 09:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?SELL0.994$2.3k
12-07 10:43Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY0.5699999986$8.00
10-24 17:54Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?BUY0.05$0.48
10-24 17:52Is John McAfee alive?BUY0.0339999351$0.50
10-24 17:52Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6269999245$8.00
06-08 18:19Will a candidate from another party win Rhode Island Presidential Election?BUY0.0149999854$1.00
06-08 18:13Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY0.0649262136$8.80