0x3eE02a8A77A731C7F27Cdf74B4489F3625Ff1ADE-1769244623461
0x3ee02a8a77a731c7f27cdf74b4489f3625ff1ade
- Realised P&L
- $346.88
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$363.59at 0.381Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
- +$246.54at 0.225Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$181.87at 0.456Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$51.43at 0.280Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
- +$40.07at 0.555Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 08:32 | Will Besiktas finish top 8 in UEL league phase? | BUY | 0.44 | $110.00 |
| 10-22 09:41 | Will Club Brugge finish top 8 in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.1147605851 | $20.00 |
| 10-21 18:25 | Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.559999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-20 13:29 | Will Juventus finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | BUY | 0.5199999989 | $110.00 |
| 10-20 13:27 | Will Lazio finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season? | BUY | 0.2395484312 | $11.00 |
| 10-20 12:51 | Will Monza be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? | BUY | 0.3555842896 | $220.00 |
| 10-20 12:09 | Will Espanyol be relegated from the 2026-27 LaLiga? | BUY | 0.194000638 | $90.00 |
| 10-15 19:48 | Will Lille finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.5411409515 | $150.00 |
| 10-15 14:00 | Will Lens finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.4099999996 | $135.00 |
| 10-15 13:30 | Will Bodø/Glimt finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.4497607654 | $160.00 |
| 10-15 13:24 | Will Sporting CP finish top 8 in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.2989130435 | $110.00 |
| 09-24 08:49 | Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | BUY | 0.064 | $45.00 |
| 09-22 11:54 | Will Sunderland be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $68.00 |
| 09-22 11:53 | Will Fulham be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 20:36 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.73 | $1000.00 |