0x3edBae05c9C7E0709ECAA49A771E4dA2Ac3f5c3e-1776236310130
0x3edbae05c9c7e0709ecaa49a771e4da2ac3f5c3e
- Realised P&L
- $-987.30
- Volume
- $23.4k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $12.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.120 | $12.60 | −$11.55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET · Down | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.79 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5? · Yes | 0.369 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up | 0.326 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Up | 0.646 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.00 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Down | 0.616 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.51at 0.397Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$122.58at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$110.73at 0.398Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
- +$90.20at 0.756Magic vs. Pistons
- +$79.12at 0.860US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5? | BUY | 0.2912621359 | $15.00 |
| 05-05 02:28 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 05-04 16:02 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $338.20 |
| 05-04 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 05-04 15:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 15:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.73 | $11.00 |
| 05-04 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6473845266 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $0.07 |
| 05-04 15:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.3664727273 | $6.05 |
| 05-04 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.2463652803 | $4.09 |
| 05-04 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | SELL | 0.19 | $0.48 |
| 05-04 15:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 05-04 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 5? | BUY | 0.4264462741 | $30.00 |
| 05-04 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $35.00 |