cx979
0x3ed980b6784af4ddb79b18de34a7f5de4fdefe4f
- Realised P&L
- $585.70
- Volume
- $326.9k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $59.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will White House post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 20? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $14.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 20? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $14.96 | −$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 20? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$640.00at 0.500Mariners vs. Blue Jays
- +$25.54at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
- +$24.58at 0.754Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
- +$15.05at 0.749Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?
- +$10.02at 0.750Will Ethereum dip to $400 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-18 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-18 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-05 08:50 | Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 09-01 13:39 | Will White House post 20-39 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-01 13:39 | Will White House post 0-19 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-01 13:38 | Will White House post 40-59 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-19 13:50 | Will XRP reach $2.40 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-19 13:50 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.92 |
| 08-19 13:49 | Will XRP reach $2.60 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-19 13:49 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in August? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.93 |
| 08-19 13:49 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 08-02 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-02 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 08-02 15:02 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |