Lincolm
0x3ed1eda43164a59c3852518599c0542e2a75fe3f
- Realised P&L
- $-0.29
- Volume
- $622.59
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $6.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.10at 0.500Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.500Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
- +$1.11at 0.500Will FDO by Pooh Shiesty be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24?
- +$0.78at 0.500Will Airbnb (ABNB) finish week of November 10 above $95?
- +$0.70at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:25 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot | BUY | 0.998999003 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:25 | Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.96 |
| 10-05 11:23 | Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 10-05 11:22 | Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:10 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.6799998954 | $1.04 |
| 10-05 11:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 5? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 10-05 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.78 |
| 10-05 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9979999405 | $5.90 |
| 10-05 11:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 11:05 | Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 07:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.96 |
| 07-27 07:36 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 07:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9949999815 | $7.00 |
| 06-30 04:04 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $3.98 |
| 06-30 04:02 | Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.9969998269 | $5.00 |