EmeraldEdge
0x3eccb67e467ab5cade77e17fe8b407450d691d30
- Realised P&L
- $-12.9k
- Volume
- $657.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,406
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,406
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.365Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.3kat 0.760Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$1.1kat 0.734Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?
- +$1.0kat 0.735Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$1.0kat 0.782Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 01:01 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.28 |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 09-19 00:12 | Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 09-19 00:09 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 09-18 19:43 | Will Trump say "Ozempic" or "GLP-1" during his announcement on healthcare? | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-18 14:08 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.95 | $38.00 |
| 09-18 11:47 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.95 | $58.71 |
| 09-18 01:13 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.91 | $55.36 |
| 09-17 22:22 | Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.57 |
| 09-17 22:15 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his Rose Garden dinner? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.80 |
| 09-17 00:52 | Will Trump say "Furniture" during his remarks in North Carolina? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-16 23:50 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-16 23:27 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.73 |
| 09-15 03:46 | Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.54 |
| 09-15 03:03 | Will "Widow's Bay" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.0055352838 | $0.51 |