PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

castbot

0x3eca4e0c2ef33c94b4c76c77f65efa9e6a08b1ab

Realised P&L
$49.12
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$452.73

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 23:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.9299999963$15.04
09-17 23:11Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.99$14.85
09-17 17:00Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 18?SELL0.99$4.95
09-17 16:21Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.95$76.80
09-17 15:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.7799999963$12.64
09-17 15:12Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.8099999894$26.65
09-17 14:44Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17?SELL0.99$4.99
09-17 14:33Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17?SELL0.99$7.92
09-17 14:25Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.9669999941$12.61
09-17 13:03Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.97$14.55
09-17 13:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.94$9.31
09-17 12:54Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.97$24.25
09-17 12:45Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.97$8.73
09-17 12:26Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.8099999963$19.92
09-17 12:03Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 17?SELL0.99$97.62