castbot
0x3eca4e0c2ef33c94b4c76c77f65efa9e6a08b1ab
- Realised P&L
- $49.12
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $452.73
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.62at 0.886Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 15?
- +$6.75at 0.926Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?
- +$3.58at 0.885Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 8?
- +$2.95at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 16?
- +$2.73at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9299999963 | $15.04 |
| 09-17 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 09-17 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.95 | $76.80 |
| 09-17 15:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.7799999963 | $12.64 |
| 09-17 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8099999894 | $26.65 |
| 09-17 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-17 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9669999941 | $12.61 |
| 09-17 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $14.55 |
| 09-17 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.31 |
| 09-17 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $24.25 |
| 09-17 12:45 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $8.73 |
| 09-17 12:26 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8099999963 | $19.92 |
| 09-17 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $97.62 |