fdrxb
0x3ec57bd4bb15cf680cd170d7d5e2b33fab2d6b38
- Realised P&L
- $167.81
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.15at 0.389England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$104.06at 0.306Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$33.09at 0.239Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?
- +$32.92at 0.144Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$25.35at 0.154Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:18 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1190240027 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 01:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.44 | $46.43 |
| 09-01 01:54 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.392 | $59.52 |
| 08-30 20:57 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Santos FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 22:02 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-23? | SELL | 0.5 | $34.09 |
| 08-23 21:38 | Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.2199999891 | $15.00 |
| 08-16 01:52 | Will São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.85 | $30.35 |
| 08-15 23:49 | Will São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 08-15 23:49 | Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.1699999908 | $15.00 |
| 08-12 00:59 | Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11? | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |
| 07-23 01:48 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 00:26 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999944 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 20:53 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.95 | $183.72 |