4onyx
0x3ec3115f6465724edbd534fcc11803115fce701d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.40
- Volume
- $135.00
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $8.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.440 | $8.80 | +$3.80 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.72at 0.640CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?
- +$-0.91at 0.225Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?
- +$-1.10at 0.360Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2026?
- +$-2.00at 0.330Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 10:30 | Will Canza launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-06 07:11 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-26 22:21 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-22 16:36 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $3.95 |