sh1nny
0x3ec2cffb49151d47272e704ddffe3a250ad68823
- Realised P&L
- $61.83
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $102.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $19.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $19.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.480 | $19.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.525 | $19.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.340 | $18.89 | −$1.11 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $4.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.62at 0.335Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$98.95at 0.100Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
- +$97.65at 0.170Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$84.16at 0.134Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$70.27at 0.306Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 02:15 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.4899999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 02:15 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.5399999881 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 02:14 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 02:14 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 02:14 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 02:14 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4499999944 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 14:25 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 14:25 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 14:25 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 14:25 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 14:24 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.3299999979 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 15:20 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 15:18 | Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 02:18 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 02:18 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |