bf663
0x3ec12f608dfaca2474f12947b12e334d4b99b009
- Realised P&L
- $54.42
- Volume
- $62.6k
- Markets traded
- 480
- Open portfolio
- $23.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded480
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.57at 0.062Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?
- +$56.32at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?
- +$23.29at 0.164Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?
- +$17.92at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 26?
- +$15.75at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.18 | $20.04 |
| 09-22 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0019315324 | $0.04 |
| 09-22 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0022727273 | $0.63 |
| 09-22 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 09-22 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0974640744 | $2.31 |
| 09-22 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0787966275 | $3.08 |
| 09-22 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.48 |
| 09-22 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 09-22 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.16 |
| 09-22 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.24 |
| 09-22 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.010409 | $3.12 |
| 09-22 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.101370478 | $7.68 |
| 09-22 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.106377858 | $7.07 |