PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

llamanow

0x3ebb319255fba1159a67db2e24a6f9260f6278f1

Realised P&L
$365.98
Volume
$63.0k
Markets traded
1,839
Open portfolio
$187.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,839
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
BNB Up or Down - October 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.7000.875$26.25+$5.25
Will Gavin Williams lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts? · No0.5300.835$16.70+$6.10
Will Miley Cyrus perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · No0.3710.819$16.37+$8.95
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? · No0.6100.770$15.40+$3.20
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in October? · Yes0.5300.375$15.00−$6.20
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? · Yes0.5700.635$12.70+$1.30
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in October? · No0.5100.625$12.50+$2.30
Will Trump's approval rating hit 39% by June 30, 2027? · No0.5800.560$11.20−$0.40
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%? · No0.4000.515$10.30+$2.30
Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $9.75B? · No0.4940.540$8.70+$0.74
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? · No0.5300.365$7.30−$3.30
Will Dorothy McCabe win the 2026 Waterloo mayoral election? · No0.6100.630$6.30+$0.20
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election? · No0.3000.280$5.60−$0.40
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19? · Yes0.5500.230$4.60−$6.40
Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? · Yes0.2900.170$3.40−$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.