pwnatorul
0x3eba55f41f4064bc4b070d06a00fec7c2dd5849a
- Realised P&L
- $60.3k
- Volume
- $7.17M
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $41.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No | 0.927 | 0.945 | $35.0k | +$655.04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.285 | $6.5k | −$9.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.3kat 0.878Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$18.8kat 0.928Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$10.7kat 0.961Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
- +$9.8kat 0.983Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
- +$8.8kat 0.981Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 19:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $2.8k |
| 09-25 17:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $4.7k |
| 09-23 09:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8056956564 | $6.5k |
| 09-22 06:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.93 | $17.7k |
| 09-21 15:24 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.92 | $9.2k |
| 09-21 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6541497487 | $19.4k |
| 09-13 18:49 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.7152140328 | $1.5k |
| 05-18 21:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.7k |
| 05-18 21:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6544457239 | $10.0k |
| 05-15 12:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $2.2k |
| 05-15 12:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $613.92 |
| 05-08 12:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $678.49 |
| 05-06 09:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.5k |
| 05-04 11:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.2k |
| 05-04 11:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6596649953 | $3.5k |