pwnatorul
0x3eba55f41f4064bc4b070d06a00fec7c2dd5849a
- Realised P&L
- $43.8k
- Volume
- $7.10M
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $23.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.662 | 0.390 | $23.6k | −$16.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$135.7kat 0.821Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
- +$131.9kat 0.816Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
- +$93.6kat 0.748Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?
- +$56.3kat 0.878Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$18.8kat 0.928Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:49 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.7152140328 | $1.5k |
| 05-18 21:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $2.7k |
| 05-18 21:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6544457239 | $10.0k |
| 05-15 12:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $2.2k |
| 05-15 12:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $613.92 |
| 05-08 12:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $678.49 |
| 05-06 09:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.5k |
| 05-04 11:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.2k |
| 05-04 11:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6596649953 | $3.5k |
| 04-27 08:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $13.5k |
| 04-26 15:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $383.59 |
| 04-26 15:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9956295787 | $27.8k |
| 04-25 15:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.4k |
| 04-25 10:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | BUY | 0.993 | $10.1k |
| 04-24 14:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9398237232 | $228.19 |