yordanos
0x3eb5b131011d3b522c77ba37d12470108852fd1a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.17
- Volume
- $45.90
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.034 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? · No | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · No | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.79at 0.305Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
- +$-0.83at 0.738Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 08:49 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 13:27 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.60 |
| 08-11 09:20 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.51 |
| 08-07 15:42 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.431 | $0.72 |
| 08-07 09:47 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2969998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 09:13 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $0.18 |
| 08-06 03:17 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 06-01 05:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.1689998814 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 15:02 | Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 14:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-13 15:36 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |