PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Sdorica

0x3ea2a581dd3ad048bdb70e5145bd2acd47744825

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$77.2k
Markets traded
534
Open portfolio
$10.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded534
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: September · Nothing0.9890.985$7.84−$0.03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.958$2.04+$0.04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.9000.915$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 09:16Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberBUY0.9899999247$1.84
09-27 09:16Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberBUY0.989$6.03
09-27 08:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.89999928$1.00
09-27 08:41US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9609997473$1.00
09-25 20:59US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.9989999829$8.84
09-24 13:24US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?BUY0.98$1.00
09-23 16:48Will Xi leave the USA on September 24, 2026 or earlier?BUY0.995$8.79
09-23 16:07Counter-Strike: The QUBE Esports vs bLight blue (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 PlayoffsSELL0.79$1.75
09-23 15:53Counter-Strike: The QUBE Esports vs bLight blue (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 PlayoffsBUY0.8599997764$1.00
09-23 15:51Counter-Strike: The QUBE Esports vs bLight blue (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #2 PlayoffsBUY0.95$1.00
09-23 15:48US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9199995952$1.00
09-23 15:42Counter-Strike: Ryvex vs maybe (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #7 Group DBUY0.9889993601$1.00
09-23 12:14Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?SELL0.999$11.07
09-21 16:56Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.998$11.06
09-21 16:30Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group StageSELL0.19$1.18