Mateobot
0x3e9d0018997f961e7d510515f09031b97693379a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.62
- Volume
- $697.38
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $25.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30? · No | 0.385 | 0.090 | $9.00 | −$29.50 |
| Will South Korea’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9%? · Yes | 0.533 | 0.425 | $8.43 | −$2.14 |
| Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.135 | $2.56 | −$2.75 |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.185 | $2.40 | −$3.06 |
| Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting? · No | 0.440 | 0.425 | $1.75 | −$0.06 |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · No | 0.222 | 0.021 | $0.86 | −$8.04 |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more? · No | 0.300 | 0.002 | $0.03 | −$5.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.100Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
- +$0.80at 0.620Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?
- +$0.40at 0.540Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?
- +$0.00at 0.580Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $75M and $100M by November 30?
- +$0.00at 0.790Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?