Heyo0292
0x3e9b7b4b81ef445b9e1f198f49623d467fd9a0ec
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $174.5k
- Markets traded
- 215
- Open portfolio
- $134.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded215
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.315Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$514.29at 0.280US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$495.11at 0.190US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$491.81at 0.397Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
- +$476.77at 0.239US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 22:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $48.00 |
| 09-26 22:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1450471476 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 18:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.1190415961 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 18:16 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | BUY | 0.0136540881 | $24.00 |
| 08-06 18:49 | Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9? | BUY | 0.2808647912 | $159.22 |
| 08-06 15:24 | The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs MI London | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 23:59 | Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? | SELL | 0.998 | $186.43 |
| 08-05 20:46 | Will Trump say "Police Officer" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5353244334 | $100.00 |
| 08-05 15:54 | The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenix | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 22:17 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.6899999989 | $99.27 |
| 08-04 22:00 | Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5374536824 | $150.00 |
| 08-03 20:48 | Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9? | BUY | 0.6253699772 | $85.00 |
| 08-03 15:25 | The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.5499999971 | $47.61 |
| 08-02 11:55 | The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds | BUY | 0.3699999981 | $54.00 |
| 08-01 23:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.24 | $104.31 |