PolyBot

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Traders

0x3e9951f12de4d0E1039B7714E2B64f862CbC073D-1773250919319

0x3e9951f12de4d0e1039b7714e2b64f862cbc073d

Realised P&L
$-38.17
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$0.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$0.15$0.35
Will Dan Hooker fight Charles Oliveira next? · Yes0.0140.006$0.07$0.09
Will Hugo Ekitike be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$0.80
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.20
Will Kamilla Karthigesu win Survivor Season 50? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.80
Will Christopher Brooks be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.50
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.40
Will Brock Faber win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$4.20
Will Philip Broberg win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.90
Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.02
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$2.90
Will MacKenzie Weegar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Matthew Boldy win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.30
Will Gianluca Scamacca be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.40
Will Brayden Point win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-01 08:07Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.025$1.25
05-01 08:07Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?SELL0.025$2.50
05-01 08:07Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL0.048$1.63
04-11 09:48Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.71$14.20
03-13 11:54Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.022$1.10
03-12 22:19Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?BUY0.012$1.20
03-12 18:55Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)BUY0.001$0.03
03-12 00:02Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.03$1.02
03-11 20:44Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?BUY0.01$1.00