0x3e9951f12de4d0E1039B7714E2B64f862CbC073D-1773250919319
0x3e9951f12de4d0e1039b7714e2b64f862cbc073d
- Realised P&L
- $-38.17
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $0.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.80at 0.710Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$1.18at 0.012Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50?
- +$0.70at 0.026Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$0.10at 0.022Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.80at 0.016Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-01 08:07 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.25 |
| 05-01 08:07 | Will Jonathan Young win Survivor Season 50? | SELL | 0.025 | $2.50 |
| 05-01 08:07 | Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.048 | $1.63 |
| 04-11 09:48 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 03-13 11:54 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.10 |
| 03-12 22:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 03-12 18:55 | Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 03-12 00:02 | Will Pedri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.02 |
| 03-11 20:44 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |