PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

phaller1212

0x3e964287a08ea60b6445ecee56158e4a1fe0b306

Realised P&L
$-6.9k
Volume
$590.5k
Markets traded
6,255
Open portfolio
$8.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,255
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 20:35Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on October 6?SELL0.1228328612$2.17
10-05 20:34Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 6?SELL0.23$1.35
10-05 20:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 6?SELL0.76$3.91
10-05 20:33Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 5?SELL0.986$5.06
10-05 20:33Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 6?SELL0.54$5.77
10-05 20:32Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 6?SELL0.5821955896$12.14
10-05 20:32Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7?SELL0.8231294118$13.99
10-05 20:32Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 5?SELL0.27$11.94
10-05 20:31Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6?SELL0.7276042486$18.50
10-05 18:29S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 5?BUY0.0811748375$9.75
10-05 17:34S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?SELL0.244$9.64
10-05 17:10Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on October 7?BUY0.3704999926$1.95
10-05 17:07S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 5?BUY0.2529999981$10.00
10-05 16:30Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 5?SELL0.999$8.90
10-05 16:10Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 7?BUY0.8$13.60