PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

swalls

0x3e8a8e665afa7a74fb047e2fe7eb29d230d3524e

Realised P&L
$34.67
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$67.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? · No0.5300.785$27.94+$9.08
Will “Swim” by BTS win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.5800.450$26.19−$7.57
Will Mexico win on 2026-09-26? · No0.6000.635$13.30+$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:01Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?BUY0.9819999979$7.58
01-30 16:39Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?BUY0.999$2.92
01-30 16:04Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$12.13
01-30 15:20Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$16.52
01-30 12:49Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$55.80
12-30 09:20Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?BUY0.9979999245$11.02
12-30 01:09Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?BUY0.999$8.27
12-29 22:58Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026?BUY0.9979999082$6.83
12-29 20:42Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.992$17.29
12-29 19:57Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.998$50.69
10-30 18:51Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$28.74
10-30 17:56Will Solana reach $250 in October?BUY0.998$23.39
10-30 17:29Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?BUY0.9914279198$27.73
09-29 16:17Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.99$10.13
09-29 05:28Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$16.06