0x3E88e074e9c496E315e2620C596005254092c055-1778240927321
0x3e88e074e9c496e315e2620c596005254092c055
- Realised P&L
- $-85.30
- Volume
- $34.3k
- Markets traded
- 451
- Open portfolio
- $8.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded451
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.17at 0.240Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.00at 0.200Will Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta win on 2026-08-28?
- +$3.96at 0.208Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-08-29?
- +$3.91at 0.218Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$3.91at 0.218Nottingham Forest FC leading at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:34 | Will Mike O'Reilly win the 2026 Kamloops mayoral election? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.50 |
| 10-11 05:04 | Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5829999545 | $1.50 |
| 10-10 18:21 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9099999757 | $1.50 |
| 10-10 15:47 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.82 | $1.64 |
| 10-10 10:17 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.9669995294 | $1.50 |
| 10-09 19:31 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999692 | $1.22 |
| 10-09 18:42 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.50 |
| 10-09 18:07 | Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.50 |
| 10-09 16:04 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.50 |
| 10-09 09:52 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.01 |
| 10-09 09:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.01 |
| 10-09 09:52 | Will T1 win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.02 |
| 10-09 09:52 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.04 |
| 10-09 09:51 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.02 |