DougJay
0x3e86f9ccd81e6919dc3a2161d2303fddac4f2c40
- Realised P&L
- $227.24
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $626.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.75at 0.773Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$94.08at 0.683Will anyone say "Dragon" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E5 S3?
- +$59.02at 0.166Will "Brother" be said during the next Avengers: Doomsday trailer?
- +$55.03at 0.890Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$40.01at 0.560Will anyone say "Summer" 5+ times during Rick and Morty E8 S9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 05:41 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 05:37 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5886868663 | $47.00 |
| 09-27 05:37 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5869999958 | $40.00 |
| 09-27 05:34 | Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 05:33 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1702912292 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 05:29 | Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.7256461215 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 03:08 | Halle Berry as Storm? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 02:58 | Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? | BUY | 0.8699999848 | $40.00 |
| 07-31 02:57 | Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? | BUY | 0.5199999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 02:54 | Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 02:54 | Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 02:53 | Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 02:52 | Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 02:51 | Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $20.00 |
| 07-28 02:51 | Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |