PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

DougJay

0x3e86f9ccd81e6919dc3a2161d2303fddac4f2c40

Realised P&L
$227.24
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$626.37

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? · Yes0.7230.455$119.53−$70.47
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5880.439$64.89−$22.11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3000.350$58.33+$8.33
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop? · No0.3760.275$51.19−$18.81
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? · No0.4790.490$51.12+$1.12
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? · Yes0.7600.745$49.01−$0.99
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? · Yes0.8700.895$41.15+$1.15
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? · Yes0.5200.800$30.77+$10.77
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5500.525$23.86−$1.14
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? · Yes0.7600.870$22.89+$2.89
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes0.7600.841$22.13+$2.13
Will Loki die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes0.7200.795$22.08+$2.08
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? · Yes0.8300.725$17.47−$2.53
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250? · Yes0.3000.390$13.00+$3.00
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1700.088$12.92−$12.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 05:41Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2999999994$50.00
09-27 05:37Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5886868663$47.00
09-27 05:37Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5869999958$40.00
09-27 05:34Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5499999934$25.00
09-27 05:33Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1702912292$25.00
09-27 05:29Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.7256461215$50.00
07-31 03:08Halle Berry as Storm?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
07-31 02:58Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool?BUY0.8699999848$40.00
07-31 02:57Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?BUY0.5199999938$20.00
07-28 02:54Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
07-28 02:54Will Ant-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?BUY0.48$3.00
07-28 02:53Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-28 02:52Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?BUY0.7599999954$20.00
07-28 02:51Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch?BUY0.8299999975$20.00
07-28 02:51Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?BUY0.7599999954$20.00